Scenarios: See minimum finishes players need to capture Charles Schwab Cup
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The field for the Charles Schwab Cup Championship is set, with 35 golfers teeing it up in Arizona at Phoenix Country Club this week in the final event of the 2024 PGA TOUR Champions season.
This year’s race for the Charles Schwab Cup is the closest in years, as 11 golfers in the field enter the week with a chance to win the season-long prize. Below is a breakdown of how each golfer could potentially win the 2024 Charles Schwab Cup.
With their points totals for the year, if any of these players win the Charles Schwab Cup Championship, they will win the Charles Schwab Cup, regardless of how any of the other golfers finish.
- 1. Ernie Els
- 2. Steven Alker
- 3. Stephen Ames
- 4. Padraig Harrington
- 5. Y.E. Yang
- 6. Richard Green
While there are a number of scenarios (outside of winning the event) that could see a player from this top six win the Schwab Cup, below are the two most reasonable outcomes:
- Els (No. 1) : Has a reasonable chance to win the Schwab Cup with a second, third or fourth place finish, provided none of the top six players win the event
- Alker (No. 2): Has a reasonable chance to win with a second or third place finish, provided Els finishes outside the top five and none of the others in the top six win the tournament.
Players that need a win, additional scenarios
The following players will each need to win the tournament and have the following scenarios take place for them to win the Schwab Cup:
7. K.J. Choi
- Needs to win the tournament and have all of the following:
- Els to finish in a two-way tie for fifth or worse
- Alker to finish in a two-way tie for third or worse
8. Steve Stricker
- Not in the field
9. Ricardo Gonzalez
- Needs to win the tournament and have all of the following:
- Els to finish solo eigth or worse
- Alker to finish in a three-way tie for fifth or worse
- Ames to finish in a four-way tie for second or worse
- Harrington to finish in a three-way tie for second or worse
10. Paul Broadhurst
- Needs to win the tournament and have all of the following:
- Els to finish solo ninth or worse
- Alker to finish in a two-way tie for sixth or worse
- Ames to finish in a two-way tie for third or worse
- Harrington to finish in a two-way tie for third or worse
- Yang to finish in a two-way tie for second or worse
11. Jerry Kelly
- Needs to win the tournament and have all of the following:
- Els to finish in a three-way tie for 20th or worse
- Alker to finish in a two-way tie for ninth
- Ames to finish solo fifth or worse
- Harrington to finish in a two-way tie for fourth or worse
- Yang to finish in a two-way tie for third or worse
- Green to finish in a two-way tie for third or worse
Players that can't win Charles Schwab Cup
It’s not mathematically possible for any of these players to win the Charles Schwab Cup:
- 12. Stewart Cink
- 13. Doug Barron
- 14. Tim O'Neal
- 15. Retief Goosen
- 16. Thomas Bjørn
- 17. Darren Clarke
- 18. Ken Tanigawa
- 19. Alex Cejka
- 20. Rocco Mediate
- 21. Bob Estes
- 22. Bernhard Langer
- 23. Miguel Angel Jiménez
- 24. Ken Duke
- 25. Joe Durant
- 26. Tim Petrovic
- 27. Thongchai Jaidee
- 28. Greg Chalmers
- 29. Mark Hensby
- 30. Vijay Singh
- 31. Shane Bertsch
- 32. Hiroyuki Fujita
- 33. Rod Pampling
- 34. Stuart Appleby
- 35. Jason Caron
- 36. Cameron Percy