Mar 7, 2023

Betting Stat Pack: Numbers to know at treacherous TPC Sawgrass

2 Min Read

Betting Stat Pack: Numbers to know at treacherous TPC Sawgrass

Blind shots. Mounds. Bulkheads. Palm trees. Risk-reward. Mind tricks. Sand. Water. Florida weather. There's absolutely no place to hide this week.

The Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass hosts 44 of the top 50 players in the world for THE PLAYERS Championship. Pete Dye’s par-72 challenge, stretching to 7,275 yards for the 2023 edition, will play host to a field of 144 competing for their share of a $25 million purse. The winner will get $4.5 million from that pool, plus 600 FedExCup points.

Let’s take a look at some of the key stats and categories that could prove vital to handicapping a winner – and will likely be areas where the eventual winner will outpace much of the field.

Key Statistics

Only players listed are competing this week

Stats from the current 2022-23 season

* - top 10 here last five seasons

RankPlayer
1Rory McIlroy*
2Scottie Scheffler
3Jon Rahm*
4Tony Finau
5Collin Morikawa
6Jhonattan Vegas
7Patrick Cantlay
9Max Homa
10Tyrrell Hatton
11Cameron Young

-click stat headline above for additional players-

Dye will ask you to move the ball both ways off the tee and into the greens. He will tempt you to cut corners and take chances. No two holes are routed in the same direction, so judging clubs/wind is always in play. So are water penalty areas on 17 of 18 holes and 88 bunkers spread in the most inconvenient of places. Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy, two of the three winners since the tournament moved back to March in 2019, led the field in this category.

RankPlayer
2Tom Hoge
3Tony Finau
4Xander Schauffele
5Jon Rahm*
6Max Homa
8Rory McIlroy*
9Collin Morikawa
10Rickie Fowler
11Russell Knox*
12Scottie Scheffler

Playing out of the middle of the fairway doesn't guarantee anything but a perfect lie this week. Annually TPC Sawgrass rates in the top 10 of toughest courses in Proximity from the fairway or otherwise. Getting it close will go a long way to keeping additional stress off the mind – and squares off the scorecard.

RankPlayer
1Jon Rahm*
2Taylor Montgomery
3Patrick Cantlay
4Max Homa
5Tony Finau
6Tommy Fleetwood*
7Justin Thomas*
8Aaron Wise
9Sam Burns
10Cameron Young

Once on the 5,500 square foot (on average) over-seeded surfaces, it's time to pay off the hard work from the tee and on approach. Getting it close here, even from the fairway, isn't easy. So the ones who find the right club (TODAY) need to take advantage. The Poa Trivialis will run true, but nothing about Pete Dye suggests easy.

RankPlayer
1Patrick Cantlay
2Jon Rahm*
3Rory McIlroy*
T4Sungjae Im
T4Adam Scott*
T4Justin Thomas*
7Will Zalatoris
T8Collin Morikawa
T8Tony Finau
10JT Poston

Since the shift to March, TPC Sawgrass has remained in the middle of the pack in Par-5 scoring average. No. 9 has increased to just over 600 yards, but the other three par-5 holes don't event reach 560 yards. No. 2 tips at 532 and No. 16, at 523, more closely resembles a par-4 at the U.S. Open. Picking up confidence and knocking off a few shots across the longest holes won't hurt, and a back-nine charge almost requires capitalizing on Nos. 11 and 16.

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